Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.444151 1.738447 2.097536 2.574668 3.202411 4.015316 5.173606
2024-12-22 0.995093 1.320028 1.772673 2.473616 3.579848 5.352368 8.633047
2024-12-29 0.806620 1.145345 1.664555 2.568642 4.225525 7.437382 15.162831
2025-01-05 0.675466 1.007272 1.552988 2.593116 4.746372 9.680472 25.026968
2025-01-12 0.570104 0.880990 1.419645 2.519886 5.031251 11.670039 38.028292
2025-01-19 0.495909 0.789612 1.321572 2.476008 5.355906 14.093174 59.156242
2025-01-26 0.462549 0.761723 1.331724 2.659897 6.353326 19.764465 121.995956
2025-02-02 0.429422 0.727476 1.320373 2.790784 7.307003 26.878707 262.677529
2025-02-09 0.390884 0.676209 1.262403 2.787323 7.855842 33.383095 524.942469
2025-02-16 0.353463 0.621455 1.186067 2.711618 8.120451 39.147354 1014.847043
2025-02-23 0.330077 0.591532 1.159112 2.764756 8.935149 51.000922 3100.942521
2025-03-02 0.313721 0.573669 1.156260 2.888735 10.178519 71.490648 20988.682454
2025-03-09 0.292746 0.543910 1.121309 2.909445 11.029722 93.747970 509948.834127
2025-03-16 0.267959 0.503046 1.052558 2.800833 11.164034 109.127151 NaN
2025-03-23 0.255972 0.488934 1.048940 2.914514 12.693486 162.169072 NaN
2025-03-30 0.241717 0.467919 1.023654 2.943727 13.791564 224.809153 NaN
2025-04-06 0.224705 0.438694 0.971787 2.857550 14.054322 273.092021 NaN
2025-04-13 0.210687 0.415031 0.931663 2.805944 14.556754 347.990926 NaN
2025-04-20 0.206632 0.414395 0.955497 3.022577 17.563218 692.854288 NaN
2025-04-27 0.200652 0.408409 0.963074 3.177227 20.433274 1382.577284 NaN
2025-05-04 0.190813 0.391900 0.936968 3.173133 21.788491 2223.901895 NaN
2025-05-11 0.179687 0.371172 0.895269 3.083643 22.110420 3067.611262 NaN
2025-05-18 0.173118 0.361324 0.885577 3.146444 24.475564 6704.215973 NaN